About this Brexit "Domino Effect" - it's nonsense of course. If just one other country votes to leave, then the EU is finished. The EU might limp on mortally wounded if a peripheral country like Greece or Denmark leave, but if a core state like the Netherlands or Italy go, then it's game over.
This is why I have a strong suspicion that the UK will not actually reach the end of the Article 50 extrication process - the EU will have collapsed before that process is completed.
Friday, 24 June 2016
Saturday, 18 June 2016
Wednesday, 15 June 2016
Friday, 3 June 2016
Tuesday, 31 May 2016
Saturday, 28 May 2016
"Brexit would not restore sovereignty, rationality or public services to Britain, but it would hasten the disintegration of the EU. Might this be a good reason to vote leave? Progressives must make a judgment call: do they believe that something good may come out of the collapse of our reactionary, undemocratic EU? Or will its collapse plunge the continent into an economic and political vortex that no Brexit can shield Britain from?"Yanis Varoufakis there.
It's another example of what I mentioned a few posts ago, that "radical", "progressive" Leftists will rally round to prop up the existing system, because most of their condemnatory rhetoric towards it is not really sincerely felt. Being "radical" and "progressive" is largely a pose, a way to appear daring while actually being utterly conventional.
Also, Brexit won't make much of a difference in material terms. It will neither alleviate nor worsen either the UK or Europe's chronic economic problems or demographic challenges. It might break the back of the ideology of globalism, but then it's only one of a lengthening queue of potential reckonings that globalisation faces.
Still, this kind of thing will enhance the voting experience come June 23rd. While we're hovering over the ballot box, we can all feel as though we're the saviour or the destroyer of European civilisation.